Everything about Southern Strategy totally explained
In
American politics, the
Southern strategy refers to methods of winning elections in the
South in the latter decades of the 20th century by exploiting racial anxiety among white voters.
Although the phrase "Southern strategy" is often attributed to
Richard Nixon strategist
Kevin Phillips, he didn't originate it, but merely popularized it. In an interview included in a 1970
New York Times article, he touched on its essence:
» From now on, the Republicans are never going to get more than 10 to 20 percent of the Negro vote and they don't need any more than that... but Republicans would be shortsighted if they weakened enforcement of the Voting Rights Act. The more Negroes who register as Democrats in the South, the sooner the Negrophobe whites will quit the Democrats and become Republicans. That's where the votes are. Without that prodding from the blacks, the whites will backslide into their old comfortable arrangement with the local Democrats."
While Phillips was concerned with polarizing ethnic voting in general, and not just with winning the white South, this was by far the biggest prize yielded by his approach. Its success began at the presidential level, gradually trickling down to statewide offices, the Senate and House, as legacy segregationist Democrats retired or switched to the GOP. The strategy suffered a brief apparent reversal following Watergate, with broad support for the Southern Democrat Jimmy Carter in the
1976 election. But with
Ronald Reagan kicking off his 1980 Republican presidential campaign proclaiming support for "states' rights" in Philadelphia, Mississippi, the site of the
murder of three civil rights workers in 1964's
Freedom Summer, it appeared the Republican Party was going to build on the Southern Strategy again. Although another Southern Democrat
Bill Clinton was twice elected President, winning a handful of Southern states in 1992 and 1996, he won more votes outside the South and could have won without carrying any Southern state.
From 1948 to 1984 the Southern states, traditionally a stronghold for the
Democrats, became key swing states, providing the popular vote margins in the
1960,
1968 and
1976 elections. During this era, several Republican candidates expressed support for
states' rights, which was a signal of opposition to federal enforcement of civil rights for blacks and intervention on their behalf, including passage of legislation to protect the franchise.
In recent years, the term has been used in a more general sense, in which cultural themes are used in an election — primarily but not exclusively in the American South. In the past, phrases such as "busing" or "law and order" or "states' rights" were used as code words. Today, appeals to conservative values name cultural issues such as gay marriage, abortion, and religion.
Disfranchisement and the Solid South
After the
American Civil War,
Southern states gained additional seats in the
House of Representatives and representation in the
Electoral College because freedmen were granted full citizenship. They were also granted suffrage. Southern white resentment stemming from the Civil War and the Republican Party’s policy of
Reconstruction kept most southern whites in the Democratic Party, but the Republicans could compete in the South with a coalition of freedmen, Unionists and highland whites.
Rising intimidation and violence by white
paramilitary groups such as the
White League and
Red Shirts during the mid to late-1870s contributed to turning out Republican officeholders and suppressing the black vote. After the North agreed to withdraw federal troops under the
Compromise of 1877, white Democrats used a variety of tactics to reduce voting by African Americans and poor whites. In the 1880s they began to pass legislation making election processes more complicated.
From 1890 to 1908, the white Democratic legislatures in every Southern state enacted new constitutions or amendments with provisions to disfranchise most blacks and many poor whites. Provisions required complicated processes for
poll taxes, residency,
literacy tests and other requirements which were subjectively applied against blacks and poor whites. As blacks lost their vote, the Republican Party lost its ability to effectively compete. The feature "Turnout for Presidential and Midterm Elections" at the University of Texas
Politics: Historical Barriers to Voting article shows the dramatic drop in voter turnout as these measures took effect, and also their longevity in Texas and across the South. It also shows the comparison of Texas and southern voting compared to the rest of the US.
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The South became solidly white Democratic until past the middle of the 20th century. Effectively, Southern white Democrats controlled all the votes of the expanded population by which Congressional apportionment was figured. Many of their representatives achieved powerful positions of seniority in Congress, giving them control of chairmanships of Congressional committees. African Americans couldn't elect one person to represent their interests and filled no local elected offices, where government was closest to the people. Because they couldn't be voters, they were also prevented from being jurors and serving in local offices. Services and institutions for them in the segregated South were chronically underfunded.
During this period, Republicans held only a few House seats from the South. Between 1880 and 1904, Republican presidential candidates in the South received between 35 and 40 percent of that section's vote (except in 1892, when the 16 percent for the Populists knocked Republicans down to 25 percent). From 1904 to 1948, Republicans received more than 30 percent of the section's votes only in the
1920 (35.2 percent, carrying Tennessee) and
1928 elections (47.7 percent, carrying five states). The only important political role of the South in presidential elections came in the
1912 election, when it provided the delegates to select Taft over Theodore Roosevelt in that year's Republican convention.
During this period, Republicans occasionally supported anti-
lynching bills, which were filibustered by Southern Democrats in the
Senate, and appointed a few black placeholders. In the
1928 election, the Republican candidate
Herbert Hoover rode the issues of
prohibition and
anti-Catholicism to carry five former Confederate states, with 62 of the 126 electoral votes of the section. After his victory, Hoover attempted to build up the Republican Party of the South, transferring patronage away from blacks and toward the same kind of white Protestant businessmen who made up the core of the Northern Republican Party. With the onset of the
Great Depression, which severely impacted the South, Hoover soon became extremely unpopular. The gains of the Republican Party in the South were lost. In the
1932 election, Hoover received only 18.1 percent of the Southern vote for re-election.
WWII and population changes
The subsequent policies of
Franklin Roosevelt provided much needed financial help and development welcomed in the South, precluding Republican growth in the region. In the
1948 election, after Truman had desegregated the Army, a group of Southern Democrats known as
Dixiecrats split from the Democratic Party in reaction to the inclusion of a strong civil rights plank in the party's platform. This followed a floor fight led by
Minneapolis Mayor (and soon-to-be
Senator)
Hubert Humphrey.
The disaffected Democrats formed the States' Rights Democratic, or
Dixiecrat, Party, and nominated Governor
Strom Thurmond of
South Carolina for president; he won four Southern states. The main plank of the States' Rights Democratic Party was maintaining
segregation and
Jim Crow in the South. The
Dixiecrats, failing to deny the Democrats the presidency in 1948, soon dissolved, but the split lingered. In 1964, Thurmond was one of the first conservative southern Democrats to switch to the Republicans.
In addition to the splits in the Democratic Party, the population movements associated with
World War II had a significant effect on the makeup of the South. From 1940-1970, more than 5 million African Americans migrated from the South to the North and West in the second
Great Migration. They moved for better jobs, education for their children, and quality of life, including the chance to vote. Starting before WWII, many took jobs in the defense industry in California and major industrial cities of the Midwest.
Changes in industry, growth in universities and the military establishment in turn attracted Northern transplants to the South, and bolstered the base of the Republican Party. In the post-war Presidential campaigns, Republicans did best in the fastest-growing states of the South with the most Northern settlers. In the
1952,
1956 and
1960 elections, Virginia, Tennessee and Florida went Republican all three times, while Louisiana went Republican in 1956, and Texas twice voted for
Eisenhower and once for
Kennedy. In 1956, Eisenhower received 48.9 percent of the Southern vote, becoming only the second Republican in history (after Grant) to get a plurality of Southern votes.
The states of the Deep South remained loyal to the Democratic Party, which hadn't officially repudiated segregation. Indeed, the "Yankee transplant" doesn't explain the Republican rise in the "Deep South" states. Mississippi, Alabama, Arkansas and North Carolina actually lost population and Congressional seats from the 1950s to the 1970s, while Georgia, South Carolina, and Louisiana remained static. From the turn of the century, Mississippi's constitution was hostile to industry.
The racial turmoil in the Deep South states during the Civil Rights Movement precluded many businesses from relocating there. The "Year of Birmingham" in 1963 highlighted racial issues in Alabama. Through the spring, there were marches and demonstrations to end legal segregation. The Movement's achievements in settlement with the local business class were overshadowed by bombings and murders by the Ku Klux Klan, most notoriously in the deaths of four girls in the bombing of the Sixteenth Street Baptist Church.
After George Wallace was elected as Governor of Alabama, he helped link the concept of states' rights and segregation, both in speeches and by creating crises to provoke Federal intervention. He opposed integration at the University of Alabama, and collaborated with the Ku Klux Klan in disrupting court-ordered integration of public schools in Birmingham in 1963.
Many of the so-called
states' rights Democrats were attracted to the
1964 presidential campaign of Republican Senator
Barry Goldwater of
Arizona. Goldwater was notably more conservative than previous Republican nominees, such as
Dwight D. Eisenhower. Goldwater's principal opponent in the
primary election, Governor
Nelson Rockefeller of
New York, was widely seen as representing the more moderate (and pro-Civil Rights), Northern wing of the party (see
Rockefeller Republican,
Goldwater Republican). Rockefeller's defeat in the primary is often seen as a turning point towards a more
conservative Republican party. It was the beginning of a long decline for moderate and especially
liberal Republicans. Goldwater’s primary victory is also seen as a shift of the center of Republican power to the West and South.
In the
1964 presidential campaign, Barry Goldwater ran a conservative campaign, part of which emphasized "states' rights." Goldwater's 1964 campaign was a magnet for conservatives. Goldwater broadly opposed strong action by the federal government. Although he'd supported all previous federal civil rights legislation, Goldwater made the decision to oppose the
Civil Rights Act of 1964. His stance was based on his view that the act was an intrusion of the federal government into the affairs of states and, second, that the Act interfered with the rights of private persons to do business, or not, with whomever they chose. In addition, Goldwater's primary delegate slate from the South had no blacks, but was filled instead with white segregationists.
All this appealed to white Southern Democrats, and Goldwater was the first Republican to win the electoral votes of the Deep South states (Louisiana, Georgia, Alabama, Mississippi, and South Carolina) since Reconstruction. However, Goldwater's vote on the Civil Rights Act proved devastating to Goldwater’s campaign everywhere outside the South (besides Dixie, Goldwater won only in Arizona, his home state), contributing to his landslide defeat in 1964. A
Lyndon B. Johnson ad called "Confessions of a Republican," which ran in the North, associated Goldwater with the
Ku Klux Klan. At the same time, Johnson’s campaign in the
Deep South publicized Goldwater’s full history on civil rights. In the end, Johnson swept the election.
Senator Goldwater’s position was at odds with most of the prominent members of the Republican Party, dominated by so-called Eastern Establishment and Midwestern Progressives. A higher percentage of the Republican Party supported the
Civil Rights Act of 1964 than did the Democratic Party, as they'd on all previous Civil Rights legislation. The
Southern Democrats mostly opposed their Northern Party mates--and their presidents (Kennedy and Johnson) on civil rights issues.
Roots of the Southern strategy
Lyndon Johnson knew that his endorsement of Civil Rights legislation would endanger his party in the South, but he did it anyway. The national Democratic party supported integration and passage of civil rights legislation to correct injustices. In the
election of 1968,
Richard Nixon saw the cracks in the
Solid South as an opportunity to tap into a group of
voters who had long been beyond the reach of the
Republican Party.
Against the background of the long Vietnam War, in 1968 social turbulence and volatility continued. On
April 4,
1968, Dr.
Martin Luther King, Jr. was assassinated. Winner of the Nobel Peace Prize and founder of the
Southern Christian Leadership Conference, he was the most well-known national leader of the Civil Rights Movement. His death was followed by rioting by despairing African Americans in inner-city areas in major cities throughout the country. King’s policy of non-violence had already been superseded by activities of more radical blacks and by the
Student Nonviolent Coordinating Committee. There were also protests, often violent, against the
Vietnam War. The
drug subculture caused alarm among many adults.
With the aid of
Harry Dent and
South Carolina Senator Strom Thurmond, who had switched parties in 1964, Richard Nixon ran his 1968 campaign on
states' rights and "law and order." Many
liberals accused Nixon of pandering to Southern whites, especially with regard to his "states' rights" and "law and order" stands.
The independent candidacy of
George Wallace, former Democratic governor of
Alabama, partially negated the Southern strategy. With a much more explicit attack on integration and black civil rights, Wallace won all of Goldwater's states (except
South Carolina), as well as
Arkansas and one of
North Carolina's electoral votes. Nixon picked up
Virginia,
Tennessee,
North Carolina,
South Carolina and
Florida, while Democratic nominee
Hubert Humphrey won only
Texas in the South. In the 1972 election, Nixon swept the South, winning more than 70 percent of the popular vote in the Deep South states and Florida, and over 60 percent in all the other states of the former
Confederacy.
Despite his appeal to Southern whites, Nixon parlayed a wide perception as a
moderate into wins in other states, and he took a solid majority in the electoral college. He was able to appear moderate to most Americans because the Southern strategy often used code words -- "states' rights," "busing" -- and others that meant little to most Americans, but were emotionally charged for voters in the South.
Evolution
As civil rights grew more accepted throughout the nation, basing a general election strategy on appeals to "states' rights" as a naked play against civil rights laws would have resulted in a national backlash. In addition, the idea of "states' rights" was subsumed within a broader meaning than simply a reference to civil rights laws, eventually encompassing
federalism as the means to forestall Federal intervention in the
culture wars.
On
August 4,
1980,
Ronald Reagan began his
presidential campaign with a speech near
Philadelphia, Mississippi at the annual Neshoba County Fair. During the speech, Reagan told the crowd, "Programs like education and others should be turned back to the states and local communities with the tax sources to fund them. I believe in states’ rights. I believe in people doing as much as they can at the community level and the private level." He went on to promise to "restore to states and local governments the power that properly belongs to them." Philadelphia was the scene of the June 21, 1964 murder of civil rights workers
James Chaney,
Andrew Goodman, and
Michael Schwerner, and Reagan's critics alleged that the presidential candidate was signaling a racist message to his audience. Reagan's defenders disagree and point out that he spoke to the
National Urban League, a civil rights organization, a few days later.
In addition to presidential campaigns, charges of racism have been made about subsequent Republican campaigns for the
House of Representatives and
Senate in the South. The
Willie Horton commercials used by supporters of
George H. W. Bush against
Michael Dukakis in the
election of 1988 were considered by some to be racist. The 1990 re-election campaign of
Jesse Helms attacked his opponent's alleged support of "racial quotas," most notably through an ad in which a white person's hands are seen crumpling a letter indicating that he was denied a job because of the color of his skin. Some professional academics (historians, political scientists, sociologists, culture critics, etc.) and most Democratic Party supporters argue that support for what conservative acolytes depict as a new "Federalism" in the Republican Party platform is, and always has been, nothing but a code word for the politics of resentment, of which racism provides the fuel.
Bob Herbert, a
New York Times columnist, reported a 1981 interview with
Lee Atwater, published in
Southern Politics in the 1990s by Prof.
Alexander P. Lamis, in which
Lee Atwater discussed politics in the South:
» You start out in 1954 by saying, "
Nigger, nigger, nigger." By 1968 you can't say "nigger"—that hurts you. Backfires. So you say stuff like forced busing, states' rights and all that stuff. You're getting so abstract now [that] you're talking about cutting taxes, and all these things you're talking about are totally economic things and a byproduct of them is [that] blacks get hurt worse than whites.
» And subconsciously maybe that's part of it. I'm not saying that. But I'm saying that if it's getting that abstract, and that coded, that we're doing away with the racial problem one way or the other. You follow me—because obviously sitting around saying, "We want to cut this," is much more abstract than even the busing thing, and a hell of a lot more abstract than "Nigger, nigger.".
Herbert wrote in the same column, "The truth is that there was very little that was subconscious about the G.O.P.'s relentless appeal to racist whites. Tired of losing elections, it saw an opportunity to renew itself by opening its arms wide to white voters who could never forgive the Democratic Party for its support of civil rights and voting rights for blacks."
Failure
There are many people who challenge the opinion that the Southern Strategy was responsible for large GOP political gains in the South.Several facts appear to support this challenge, such as:
- Democrat Jimmy Carter's victory in every Southern state except for Virginia and Oklahoma in the 1976 Presidential election, years after the emergence of the Southern Strategy. Many Southerners voted for him because he was from Georgia and had crossover appeal.
- Democrat Bill Clinton, also due to his southern roots and crossover appeal, was able to win five southern states twice (Louisiana, Arkansas, Tennessee, Kentucky, West Virginia) and two states once (Georgia in 1992 and Florida in 1996). Virginia, Texas and North Carolina were won by the Republican candidates by significantly smaller margins than usual.
- The first Southern state to give the GOP control of both its governorship and its legislature was Florida. It didn't do this until 1998. However, the Southern Strategy was always directed chiefly at electing presidential candidates. Southern Democrats at the state level were much more conservative than Northerners such as George McGovern, Michael Dukakis or John Kerry.
- Georgia didn't elect its first post-Reconstruction GOP governor until 2002.
- Until 2005, Louisiana had been represented since Reconstruction only by Democratic Senators.
- Arkansas has two Democratic Senators, a Democratic governor, three out of four of their U.S. representatives are Democrats, every statewide office is held by a Democrat, and their state legislature is Democratic.
- Tennessee and North Carolina have a majority Democratic delegation in the U.S. House of representatives. Mississippi has a house delegation that's evenly split between Democrats and Republicans .
In addition, some claim that Southern whites' move to the Republican Party had more to do with whites voting for their economic interests than racism. Clay Risen wrote in a review of
The End of Southern Exceptionalism, a scholarly work by Richard Johnston and Byron Shafer, "In the postwar era... the South transformed itself from a backward region to an engine of the national economy, giving rise to a sizable new wealthy suburban class. This class, not surprisingly, began to vote for the party that best represented its economic interests: the Republican Party."
Modern appraisal in the Republican party
The Southern Strategy was used as recently as the
2000 election. During this election, a
push poll suggested to conservative Republican
South Carolina primary voters that primary opponent
John McCain had fathered an "illegitimate black child." McCain was defeated.
Following the 2004 re-election of President
George W. Bush, in which few African Americans voted for Bush and other Republicans,
Ken Mehlman, the Chairman of the
Republican National Committee and Bush's campaign manager, delivered several speeches at meetings with African-American business, community, and religious leaders in which he apologized for his party's use of the Southern Strategy in the past. Said Mehlman, "By the '70s and into the '80s and '90s, the Democratic Party solidified its gains in the African-American community, and we Republicans didn't effectively reach out. Some Republicans gave up on winning the African-American vote, looking the other way or trying to benefit politically from racial polarization. I'm here today as the Republican chairman to tell you we were wrong." However, many prominent Republican and conservative commentators denounced Mehlman for his apology,
Rush Limbaugh and
Sean Hannity among them.
In the 2006 campaign for
Tennessee's Senate seat, a controversial political advertisement paid for by the
Republican National Committee featured a series of characters facetiously offering their support for black Democratic candidate
Harold Ford, Jr. One character was a white woman -- wearing a strapless dress which made her appear naked -- who claimed to have met Ford at a Playboy party. At the end of the ad, she requested that Ford call her. Critics accused the RNC of
race baiting by playing on negative views of mixed-race relationships.
Use during the 2008 Democratic primary
Pundits such as
Rush Limbaugh and
Roland Martin have suggested that the campaign of Senator
Hillary Clinton would use a "Southern strategy" to suggest that African-American support in
South Carolina for rival
Barack Obama was related to his race and not his individual appeal to voters. Limbaugh said that'll be "[g]iving nothing to Obama, blaming it all on racial identity politics, or crediting it for that. You watch. They'll do something." In this view, subsequent primaries would be affected by the introduction of race and follow the pattern of the Southern strategy.
Following Obama's victory in the
South Carolina primary on
January 26, analysts on
CNN described statements made by former President
Bill Clinton on behalf of Senator Clinton's campaign as part of Senator Clinton's "Southern strategy". They noted former President Clinton's comparison of Obama's 2008 presidential campaign to those of
Jesse Jackson in 1980 and 1984. In his interview with George Stephanopoulus, Barack Obama pointed out that Clinton was referring to history more than 20 years old and contended that his campaign and win were different.
Geraldine Ferraro, a former vice-presidential candidate and an honorary member of Clinton's finance committee, didn't resign for more than a week after stating more than once that Obama had achieved his position only because he was African American. Initially Clinton "regretted" Ferraro's comments, but didn't ask her to leave. When controversy continued, Ferraro resigned but didn't apologize for her remarks. She went on to complain that she was being attacked because she was white.
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